NFL Week 1 Results
Week 1 Model Performance Recap: Strong Results to Kick Off the Season
Week 1 of the NFL season is in the books, and our model delivered impressive results! In a week full of unpredictability, our projections held strong against the sportsbook odds. Here’s how the model performed in both spreads and over/unders:
Spreads: 10-6
Our model accurately predicted 10 out of 16 spreads, resulting in a 62.5% success rate for the week. This is a great start, especially considering how difficult Week 1 can be with new variables like offseason adjustments, coaching changes, and unknowns surrounding key players.
Over/Unders: 12-4
This week, the real strength of the model came in the over/under predictions, where we achieved a 75% success rate by correctly predicting 12 out of 16 games.
Takeaways from Week 1
Week 1 always brings some surprises, but we’re excited about the model’s performance, especially given its success with both spread and over/under predictions. The combination of historical data, team statistics, and advanced analysis allowed us to start the season on a high note. Here are some of our key takeaways:
Accurate over/under projections: A 12-4 record is a solid indicator that the model can reliably predict game totals, even in the unpredictable early part of the season.
Strong spread results: Hitting 10 out of 16 spreads is a great result for Week 1, especially considering the number of games that had quite a bit of variance.
Looking Ahead to Week 2
As we move into Week 2, the model will continue to evolve, incorporating more data from current-season performance, which will help refine our predictions even further. We’re confident that this season will continue to bring value to those following our projections.
